If you make a purchase after clicking on links within this article, Lee Enterprises may earn affiliate commissions. The news and editorial departments had no role in the creation or display of this content.
The 2024 NFL season will be here before we know it, but bettors can already lock in their NFL win totals picks. At the top of the odds board, you’ll find elite teams hovering around the 10.5-11.5 win-totals range, while the bottom-dwellers will be trying to crack 4.5 or so. Read below for our live win totals odds, picks and predictions:
2024 NFL win totals odds
NFL win totals overs: Ride the Jets and Texans
Here are a couple of picks that we think have the best chance at hitting the over:
2024 NFL win totals pick: New York Jets over 9.5 (-110)
The Aaron Rodgers Show was delayed for a year but will be featured with six primetime matchups this season. Last season, New York managed seven wins with inept quarterback play and a see-through offensive line, so we like their chances of mustering at least three more wins this year with A-Rod, a drastically improved O-line and a stacked wide receiver group.
The Jets have the league’s 12th toughest schedule, according to opponents’ win percentage but have a chance to gain some early momentum with some soft matchups. After starting on the road against the San Francisco 49ers, New York will play the Tennessee Titans, New England Patriots, Denver Broncos and Minnesota Vikings. There’s a strong chance that three of those teams will be suiting up rookie QBs, and the Titans will have second-year pivot Will Levis at the helm.
2024 NFL win totals pick: Houston Texans over 9.5 (-110)
C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans were one of the great surprises of the 2023 season, and things are only going to get better this year in H-town. After hitting two home runs in last year’s draft with Stroud and Will Anderson, the Texans went out and snatched up superstar wideout Stefon Diggs this offseason. He’ll complement an already loaded receiving corps that includes the newly-signed Nico Collins, Tank Dell and Dalton Schultz.
Hard-nosed running back Joe Mixon will join Dameon Pierce in the backfield, creating one of the best looking offenses in the NFL on paper. The Texans eclipsed this total last season (10-7) and should have no problem getting there again with an improved squad that plays in a weak AFC South division.
NFL win totals Unders: Fade the Bengals and Bills
Both of these teams have overhauled squads, and we think there could be some regression this season.
2024 NFL win totals pick: Cincinnati Bengals under 10.5 (-110)
Things seem a little chaotic in Cincy right now. There have been rumblings all offseason about star receiver Tee Higgins requesting a trade and refusing to sign the franchise tag. He’s currently skipping the team’s OTAs. Ja’Marr Chase is notably missing from the voluntary workouts as well and is currently eligible for an extension. Joe Mixon and Tyler Boyd have moved on to new teams, and quarterback Joe Burrow continues to rehab his surgically repaired wrist.
Right now it seems that there are more questions than answers for the Bengals, and we have no problem fading this lofty win total. Cincinnati plays in arguably the toughest division in football and will have to face the Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns and an improved Pittsburgh Steelers team twice each.
2024 NFL win totals pick: Buffalo Bills under 10.5 (-110)
Josh Allen will be throwing to a cast of unfamiliar faces this season after the departure of his top two receivers Stefon Diffs and Gabe Davis. The depth chart is now topped by Curtis Samuel, Khalil Shakir and rookie second-round pick Keon Coleman. We’ve seen Patrick Mahomes work with less, but this will be new territory for Allen.
2023 NFL win totals results
One thing that last season taught us is that it’s hard to hit the over on 11.5 regular-season wins in the NFL. The Philadelphia Eagles, Cincinnati Bengals and even Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs all fell under their opening 11.5 lines.
The only teams with more than 11 regular-season wins last season were the league-leading Baltimore Ravens (13), San Francisco 49ers (12), Dallas Cowboys (12) and Detroit Lions (12). Here is a complete list of last year’s NFL win totals results.
Over Results
- Baltimore Ravens 8.5 (13-4)
- Buffalo Bills 10.5 (11-6)
- Cleveland Browns 8.5 (11-6)
- Dallas Cowboys 9.5 (12-5)
- Detroit Lions 9.5 (12-5)
- Green Bay Packers 7.5 (9-8)
- Houston Texans 6.5 (10-7)
- Indianapolis Colts 6.5 (9-8)
- Las Vegas Raiders 6.5 (8-9)
- Los Angeles Rams 7.5 (10-7)
- Miami Dolphins 9.5 (11-6)
- Pittsburgh Steelers 8.5 (10-7)
- San Francisco 49ers 11.5 (12-5)
- Seattle Seahawks 8.5 (9-8)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6.5 (9-8)
Under results
- Arizona Cardinals 4.5 (4-13)
- Atlanta Falcons 7.5 (7-10)
- Carolina Panthers 7.5 (2-15)
- Chicago Bears 7.5 (7-10)
- Cincinnati Bengals 11.5 (9-8)
- Denver Broncos 8.5 (8-9)
- Jacksonville Jaguars 9.5 (9-8)
- Kansas City Chiefs 11.5 (11-6)
- Los Angeles Chargers 9.5 (5-12)
- Minnesota Vikings 8.5 (7-10)
- New England Patriots 7.5 (4-13)
- New Orleans Saints 9.5 (9-8)
- New York Giants 8.5 (6-11)
- New York Jets 9.5 (7-10)
- Philadelphia Eagles 11.5 (11-6)
- Tennessee Titans 7.5 (6-11)
- Washington Commanders 7.5 (4-13)
Best NFL win totals betting sites
You must be over 21 to play. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700. 1-800 GAMBLER.
Ryan Hagen broke into the sports betting world early. As a 14-year-old, he sought out a kiosk clerk with relaxed gambling views and convinced him to sell him “Sport Select” tickets – which was the Canadian Lottery Corporation’s original sports betting program. He graduated from Royal Roads University in 2007 and has since combined his passion for sports and (legal) gambling into a career as a sports betting writer. He’s covered college sports, contributed to newspapers and magazines, and written for multiple sportsbooks and affiliates. Off the clock he can be found traveling, searching for noodles, or working on his golf swing.
