NBA mock draft: A new No. 1, a mini-slide for a champ, and Bronny on the rise

With less than a month before the 2024 NBA draft begins, players are making big-time decisions that will impact their futures.

With the NCAA’s early-entry withdrawal deadline passing on Wednesday, several prospects withdrew their names from the draft process in order to return to their prior college program or transfer to a new one. Take former BYU 6-foot-7 wing Jaxson Robinson, who told ESPN on Thursday that he is out of the draft and has committed to play for the Kentucky Wildcats. Robinson joins other high-profile players, such as Alabama’s Mark Sears, UConn’s Alex Karaban and Arizona’s Caleb Love, who withdrew their names and are returning for another year of collegiate eligibility.

The top prospects who are staying in the draft and hope to hear their names called in the new two-day event (June 26-27 in New York) include Johnny Furphy (a 6-9 guard out of Kansas who ranks No. 18 in ESPN’s Top 100), Bronny James (a 6-3 guard out of USC) and David Jones (a 6-5 forward out of Memphis).

Now, NBA teams are jumping into individual workouts that will help them narrow down their boards and get a handle on whom they might draft. The Atlanta Hawks secured the No. 1 pick, and then the draft turns to the Washington Wizards and Houston Rockets at Nos. 2 and 3.

Draft experts Jonathan Givony and Jeremy Woo considered the draft board and the likely players available at each spot to update the ESPN 2024 NBA mock draft accordingly. Their latest mock, which reflects a long period of exhaustive evaluation of the 2024 draft class and considers intel gathered from conversations with scouts and front office personnel, also accounts for picks owed and owned by all 30 teams.

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ROUND 1

Zaccharie Risacher, SF, Bourg (France) | Age: 19.1

The intel out of the Hawks continues to indicate that their front office is at an early stage in its decision-making process and there likely won’t be clarity on which way the team is leaning with this pick until closer to draft night. It’s unclear how much of an appetite ownership has for entering a rebuilding mode, and that might be difficult to avoid depending on what the team does in regard to the futures of stars Trae Young and Dejounte Murray,

Trading this pick for more immediate contributors or moving down to take multiple swings in this relatively flat lottery class are options. Take for example a scenario in which San Antonio would trade the No. 4 and No. 8 selections for the right to move up and draft Risacher.

Should Atlanta stand pat at No. 1, Risacher is looking like an increasingly attractive option. His season came to a close with Bourg’s semifinal loss to No. 1 seed Monaco, capping off a playoff run in which he averaged 15.1 points and 7.4 rebounds per game, shooting 67% from the field and 38% on 3-pointers; all outstanding numbers for a 19-year-old at this level of competition. His next stop is the NBA Global Camp in Treviso, Italy, where he’ll have a medical examination and undergo draft combine activity including interviews with interested teams.

Every team in the top five has significant interest in Risacher, and it is looking highly unlikely, barring a major surprise, that he’ll drop out of the top two. — Givony

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Alex Sarr, PF/C, Perth (Australia) | Age: 19.0

Which direction Washington goes here appears to hang on where Atlanta ultimately lands at No. 1, with rival teams connecting the Wizards to Risacher and Sarr. The long-term upside Sarr presents makes for a strong fit with Washington’s situational timeline, with the front office beginning the very early stages of its rebuilding process.

Expect the Wizards to look at all options on the trade front — much of the league is open to moving back for additional value given the difficult nature of this draft — with players such as Donovan Clingan and Matas Buzelis viewed as options further down their board. Sarr’s high ceiling as a defender and potentially versatile offensive big makes him a worthwhile swing for the Wizards at the top of this draft. — Woo

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Reed Sheppard, PG/SG, Kentucky | Age: 19.9

Most teams expect the Rockets to heavily pursue trade opportunities, either to move down the board (with teams such as the Portland Trail Blazers, Memphis Grizzlies or Chicago Bulls) or to get out altogether if a major building block — such as Mikal Bridges — becomes unexpectedly available.

Should Houston stand pat at No. 3, continuing to add shooting will likely be a priority after it finished toward the bottom of the league last season. With that in mind, adding a sharpshooter such as Sheppard, who converted over half of his 3-point attempts and proved capable of playing on or off the ball, could be attractive. Sheppard’s unselfishness, feel for the game and sharp defensive instincts could make him a strong fit alongside the Rockets’ core. — Givony

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Stephon Castle, PG/SG, UConn | Age: 19.5

The Spurs have been exploring all options with their two top-10 picks as they enter a critical offseason. With Victor Wembanyama on a superstar-level trajectory, San Antonio has an opportunity to accelerate its path toward the playoffs, whether that’s via the draft, trades or other means. The biggest roster need is at point guard, and rival teams have connected the Spurs to the Cleveland Cavaliers‘ Darius Garland as they work to revamp the team.

Keeping both these picks and taking multiple swings in the draft is also an attractive path, with the challenge being nailing the right pairing of players who will fit together with Wembanyama. San Antonio has demonstrated strong interest in Castle, who might well land here if the Spurs stay put. Castle’s two-way versatility, playmaking potential and size (6-6, 215 pounds) give him attractive upside, and also make him an easy player to pair with whomever the Spurs draft at No. 8. — Woo

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Matas Buzelis, SF/PF, G League Ignite | Age: 19.6

The Pistons recently hired New Orleans Pelicans general manager Trajan Langdon to oversee their front office, which creates a new dynamic for both how management views the existing roster as well as the fit of prospects in this range that corresponds with the team’s timeline. It will probably take time for Langdon and any new executives he brings in to flesh out the fit of the Pistons’ backcourt (Cade Cunningham and Jaden Ivey) and frontcourt (Isaiah Stewart and Jalen Duren) before making drastic moves. With that in mind, it might make sense to look at small forward options who can connect the roster and bring defensive versatility, perimeter shooting and playmaking.

Buzelis has terrific size at 6-10 and explosive ability, and he has shown promising signs of perimeter shooting and rim-protection prowess over the past few years. The fact he doesn’t need the ball in his hands to be successful but has significant upside to grow into with his developing frame could be attractive with this pick. — Givony

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Rob Dillingham, PG, Kentucky | Age: 19.4

The Hornets are sitting in a tricky spot at No. 6, with some prospects unwilling to work out in Charlotte. With a new front office in place and the team’s new ownership also known to be heavily involved in decision-making, it remains to be seen what direction the franchise will take. And, there is much curiosity around the league surrounding LaMelo Ball‘s long-term fit.

With less than a month before the draft, Charlotte has been connected to perimeter players, with the team said to be high on the long-term future of Mark Williams — which might preclude drafting Donovan Clingan as an option here. Other names to watch for the Hornets include Cody Williams and Ron Holland. But Dillingham’s shooting ability and playmaking make him an attractive fit as someone who can play alongside Ball and Brandon Miller in the short term, and also offer long-term cover at point guard (depending what happens with Ball). — Woo

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Donovan Clingan, C, UConn | Age: 20.2

It’s hard to see a scenario in which Clingan — the No. 3 player on ESPN’s Big Board — falls to No. 7, but the Trail Blazers would surely be ecstatic with this outcome, driven by Houston, San Antonio, Detroit and Charlotte already being invested in centers they have in place.

There’s chatter around the league that teams such as Portland, Memphis and Chicago might look to move up to draft Clingan earlier than this, but in this mock scenario, he falls right into the Trail Blazers’ lap. Clingan brings size, length, defensive prowess, nonstop intensity and passing ability along with a back-to-back national championship pedigree. He has plenty of room for growth alongside the Blazers’ core at just 20 years old. — Givony

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Tidjane Salaun, PF, Cholet (France) | Age: 18.8

Salaun has arrived in the U.S. for workouts, but will head back overseas next week to the NBA’s pre-draft camp in Treviso, Italy, to complete his required medicals and testing. He has gained steam as a lottery candidate after finishing his season in strong form, showcasing his physical tools and potential versatility at either forward spot.

Salaun, yet to turn 19, is still a ways away from contributing at a high level, but the room for long-term growth makes him an appealing development pick in the mid-to-late lottery. His familiarity with Victor Wembanyama likely doesn’t hurt his case as an option for San Antonio, but the Spurs are considering a handful of prospects at this spot, including Dillingham, Nikola Topic, Cody Williams and Dalton Knecht. — Woo

More: Victor Wembanyama breaks down France’s 2024 draft prospects

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Dalton Knecht, SF, Tennessee | Age: 23.1

An injury-plagued 2023-24 season gives the Grizzlies a chance to add more talent to a roster already featuring three significant building blocks of stars in Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Desmond Bane. Considering the team’s timetable, and the urgency surely in place to make a run back to the NBA playoffs next season, finding plug-and-play options who can contribute immediately without too long of a development runway will be important.

At 23 years old and coming off an All-America season, Knecht looks like an attractive option. He’s one of the best shooters in this class, putting the ball in the basket in a variety of ways, and has the frame and length to play either wing position. — Givony

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Nikola Topic, PG, Mega MIS (Adriatic League) | Age: 18.8

Teams are awaiting Topic’s forthcoming medical information, and he will participate in his required portion of the pre-draft process next week in Treviso. He sustained multiple knee injuries this season, returning in April before injuring himself again a few weeks later, and his health status looks likely to impact his place in the lottery hierarchy.

Teams drafting in the top 15 will receive his medicals, in accordance with the NBA’s new collective bargaining rules. Utah is among the interested parties in Topic, with Dalton Knecht, Ron Holland and Ja’Kobe Walter among other prospects who are getting looks from the Jazz at No. 10. Topic’s size, basketball IQ and playmaking skills make him an intriguing long-term player and a potential value pick should he end up in the back part of the lottery. — Woo

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Ron Holland, SF, G League Ignite | Age: 18.8

Holland, who is ranked No. 11 in ESPN’s Top 100, is in the conversation for teams that are drafting higher than this, including Detroit at No. 5. Scouts were hoping to see Holland show more progress with his perimeter shooting than what they saw at the draft combine or at his pro day, making him somewhat of a situational fit for certain lottery teams that are grappling with surrounding their existing players with ample spacing.

The Bulls have been treading water for several seasons now and are staring at an aging roster with few prospects for improvement internally. Rolling the dice on an 18-year-old such as Holland, who at one point was ranked the No. 1 player in his high school class and a strong prospect at the top of this draft, could make sense at No. 11. Holland’s competitiveness, aggressiveness and scoring instincts give him a chance to emerge as a productive NBA player as his perimeter shooting and decision-making evolve. — Givony

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Devin Carter, PG/SG, Providence | Age: 22.2

Carter has earned himself looks in the top 10 from teams, including San Antonio and Memphis, who value his reliability, toughness and all-around readiness to step in and contribute immediately. He brings quite a bit to the table defensively, has made strides as a shooter and plays with a nonstop motor, making him a particularly appealing choice for teams angling to compete sooner rather than later.

The Thunder have quite a bit of depth in the backcourt already, with two excellent defensive guards in Lu Dort and Cason Wallace, but could opt to stack the deck further at this spot and let Carter challenge for minutes right away. Oklahoma City will eventually have to consolidate some of its talent, potentially making roster fit less important at No. 12. — Woo

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Ja’Kobe Walter, SG/SF, Baylor | Age: 19.7

There’s quite a bit of trade talk around this No. 13 pick, which makes sense considering the Kings’ timeline and urgency for returning to the playoffs. Should they stand pat, picking a movement shooter such as Walter, who can run off screens and bring high-level intensity defensively, makes sense.

He also has plenty of upside to grow into at 19 years old. Other perimeter shooters, such as local product Jared McCain and sharpshooting wings Johnny Furphy and Kyshawn George, will also likely be in play here for Sacramento. — Givony

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Cody Williams, SG/SF, Colorado | Age: 19.5

Williams has drawn strong interest from teams in the top 10, including Charlotte, San Antonio and Utah. Another viable landing spot would be Portland, where his size and defensive upside make for an appealing fit alongside the Trail Blazers’ guards. His draft stock hit a bit of flux as he struggled toward the back end of Colorado’s season, but lottery teams with an eye toward long-term development view him as a viable player.

The direction Portland ultimately decides to go here might hinge on what it decides to do with the No. 7 pick. But Williams — who once was viewed as a possible top-five selection and is now ranked No. 14 in ESPN’s Top 100 — would be a good value pick should he fall here. — Woo

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Zach Edey, C, Purdue | Age: 22.0

Edey’s positional fit alongside Bam Adebayo would be a topic of discussion in Miami, but his productivity, physicality and intensity would surely be welcomed by the Heat, who have valued experience more than other teams at times. Edey slowly incorporated a 3-point shot into his offensive arsenal this past season, and he has the type of defensive versatility that could be useful alongside another big man in small doses.

Edey’s offensive rebounding and interior scoring are skills the Heat don’t have much of, potentially making him an attractive pick at No. 15. — Givony

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Jared McCain, PG, Duke | Age: 20.2

McCain has been receiving interest as high as the late lottery, with teams drawn to his shooting ability, intangibles and work ethic. He might be more prepared than most freshmen to step into a role and help an NBA team. He figures to not last long into the teens, with the Miami Heat, Philadelphia 76ers and Los Angeles Lakers all in need of what McCain brings to the court.

Depending on who falls, Philadelphia is in position to draft the best available prospect at No. 16 but should be angling to grab a cost-controlled role player to contribute during this window as Joel Embiid enters his 30s and rising star Tyrese Maxey is ticketed for a big contract. The level of spacing and versatility McCain provides on offense should be attractive to the Sixers. Expect this pick to surface in trade conversations, as has been team president Daryl Morey’s M.O. for quite some time. — Woo

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Tristan Da Silva, SF/PF, Colorado | Age: 23.0

The Lakers were finally informed by the New Orleans Pelicans of their plans to relinquish their rights to this pick and take control of their 2025 first-rounder instead. The Lakers will likely be in the market for proven players who can play an immediate role on an experienced roster centered around LeBron James, who turns 40 on Dec. 30.

Da Silva, 23, is a plug-and-play option who brings coveted defensive versatility, feel for the game and perimeter shooting, making 40% of his 3-point attempts this past season for Colorado. Expect this pick to be in trade talks as well, as the Lakers weigh the possibility of adding a third star to their roster, which would better fit their timetable if that’s available to them. — Givony

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Johnny Furphy, SG/SF, Kansas | Age: 19.4

Furphy’s decision to turn pro went down to the wire Wednesday, as he weighed a return to Kansas but ultimately felt comfortable enough with his prospect status to remain in the 2024 draft. Furphy has been a bit divisive from team to team, with some scouts highly intrigued by his shooting, size and physical skills at his age, and others concerned with his defense and the fact it might take him some time to contribute.

This is a situation that should bear out in the coming weeks, as Furphy schedules additional workouts with teams drafting in the first round. The Orlando Magic have generally favored tall, skilled prospects in his mold, and could take a shot on him long-term here. — Woo

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Kyshawn George, SG/SF, Miami | Age: 20.4

The Raptors were one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the NBA last season, both in terms of 3-point makes and accuracy, and will need to continue to surround Scottie Barnes with enough floor spacing to keep opposing defenses honest.

George (6-8 and 205 pounds) is the type of oversized, long-armed wing this Raptors front office often covets, making 41% of his attempts at Miami. Ranked No. 19 in ESPN’s Top 100, George still has plenty of upside to grow into thanks to his feel for the game, playmaking and the unique developmental trajectory he’s on, having grown 9 inches in the past five years. — Givony

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Carlton Carrington, PG/SG, Pittsburgh | Age: 18.8

After a good showing shooting the ball at the draft combine in Chicago, Carrington has been selective with where and for which teams he chooses to work out. His range is still a bit wide, but teams view him as a strong first-round upside pick because of his size (6-5, 190 pounds), youth and developing point guard play on a successful Pitt team last season.

The Cavaliers might have an active offseason ahead, with the fate of the Donovan Mitchell–Darius Garland pairing uncertain. That might put Cleveland in position to deepen its backcourt at this spot, with Carrington a good candidate if he falls here. — Woo

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Isaiah Collier, PG, USC | Age: 19.6

Being drafted at No. 21 would indicate a big slide for Collier, who entered college as the No. 1-ranked recruit in his high school class and was at one point considered a candidate to be the No. 1 pick (see ESPN’s mock draft from Nov. 30). With few teams in the Nos. 12-20 range in the market for a lead guard with questionable shooting ability, Collier has a wide range because of the amount of playmaking usage he’ll likely need to reach his full potential and the fact that most of the teams picking outside the top 10 are in win-now mode.

The Pelicans might be a team willing to take a longer view, as they don’t have any glaring roster needs that they are likely to fill at this stage in the draft. — Givony

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Kyle Filipowski, PF/C, Duke | Age: 20.5

The Suns are in a precarious position as they attempt to construct a contender around their trio of highly paid stars. Phoenix is spending more aggressively than any team in the league and has also traded away control of its future drafts with picks and swap rights outgoing through 2030.

Expect the Suns to look for a ready-made contributor at the No. 22 pick, with Filipowski’s size (7-0 and 230 pounds) and skill level adding a potentially useful dimension to their frontcourt. Filipowski’s range is also somewhat wide at this point, running toward the end of the first round. Phoenix also has a glaring need for a true point guard, which is something it will likely consider here as well. — Woo

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Kel’el Ware, C, Indiana | Age: 20.1

The Bucks have needs at several positions and will likely be opportunistic depending on which player falls to No. 23. Center is certainly one of them, with 36-year-old Brook Lopez entering the final year of his contract.

Ware, who is ranked No. 25 in ESPN’s Top 100, has done a good job of addressing some of the red flags in his profile from his time at Oregon with stronger-than-expected interviews and background intel, helping to solidify his standing in the first round. He has elite physical tools and brings intriguing potential at 7-1 with his ability to stretch the floor and protect the rim. — Givony

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Yves Missi, C, Baylor | Age: 20.0

The Knicks are understandably looking into trade scenarios involving their two picks in the 20s as they work to prolong their current competitive window. Missi is in play all over the first round for teams searching for depth at center, with his tremendous physical profile at 6-11 and 223 pounds making him an interesting long-term project as a vertical spacing big.

It’s going to take him some time to contribute, but he could be a solution for the Knicks as insurance with Isaiah Hartenstein headed into free agency. — Woo

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Tyler Kolek, PG, Marquette | Age: 23.1

Kolek, who is ranked No. 29 in ESPN’s Top 100, has drawn serious looks from teams that are selecting higher than this in the first round. He has experience, playmaking savvy and intense competitiveness that could provide a pathway into backup point guard minutes early in his pro career. He’s likely not going to offer a ton defensively, where he’s limited because of his size (6-3, 190 pounds) and athletic ability, but he’s also not going to take plays off or want for effort.

That mentality will likely be attractive to the Knicks and coach Tom Thibodeau if they opt to keep one or both of these picks. — Woo

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Bobi Klintman, SF/PF, Cairns (Australia) | Age: 21.2

The Wizards are in an ideal position to take a swing on long-term upside at this stage of the draft. Every NBA team is looking for oversized wings with perimeter shooting ability, transition scoring prowess and defensive versatility, all areas Klintman shows impressive flashes of depending on which night you catch him on. Most teams expect him to come off the board somewhere in this range. — Givony

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Baylor Scheierman, SG/SF, Creighton | Age: 23.6

The Timberwolves had a fantastic season, making the Western Conference finals, and have enviable depth and talent at nearly every position. Adding wing depth and shooting will likely be priorities to continue to space the floor effectively for their twin-towers lineup of Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns.

Scheierman, ranked No. 26 in ESPN’s Top 100, was one of the big winners of the combine, as he appeared to be one of the best players in the scrimmages. He looks like a plug-and-play option with his excellent combination of size, perimeter shooting versatility, feel for the game and competitiveness. — Givony

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DaRon Holmes II, PF/C, Dayton | Age: 21.7

Sources told ESPN Holmes recently canceled several workouts, raising strong suspicions that he has secured a guarantee in the back part of the first round. Coming off a productive career at Dayton in which he made strides as a shooter (38% from 3 last season), Holmes appears to have helped himself in the pre-draft process, moving himself into the first-round picture.

The Nuggets could be a landing spot, considering the need for frontcourt depth behind Nikola Jokic and their proclivity for targeting experienced college talent. — Woo

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Justin Edwards, SG/SF, Kentucky | Age: 20.4

Edwards did not have the season many expected at Kentucky, but he’s still worthy of consideration in this range of the draft. Standing 6-7 with some perimeter shooting acumen and upside to grow into after one season in college, Edwards ranks No. 28 in ESPN’s Top 100.

The Jazz have multiple picks at their disposal and can afford to take a swing on a player many considered a top-10 candidate entering the season. — Givony

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Kevin McCullar, SF, Kansas | Age: 23.2

Boston is working out a wide range of prospects for this pick at No. 30 as it weighs an addition to a championship-caliber roster. They have depth across positions, but perimeter depth behind Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown could be an area to target.

Late-season injuries put a bit of a damper on McCullar’s season at Kansas, but a strong first month helped reframe his NBA readiness and moved him from two-way contract candidate into what will likely be guaranteed money on draft night. — Woo

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*The New Orleans Pelicans have the option to take the Los Angeles Lakers‘ pick at No. 17 overall or defer it to 2025. They have until June 1 to decide.

ROUND 2

31. Toronto Raptors (via Pistons)
Tyler Smith, SF/PF, G League Ignite | Age: 19.5

32. Utah Jazz (via Wizards)
Cam Christie, SG, Minnesota | Age: 18.8

33. Milwaukee Bucks (via Trail Blazers)
Jaylon Tyson, SG/SF, California | Age: 21.4

34. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hornets)
Ryan Dunn, SF/PF, Virginia | Age: 21.3

35. San Antonio Spurs
Terrence Shannon Jr., SG/SF, Illinois | Age: 23.8

36. Indiana Pacers (via Raptors)
A.J. Johnson, SG, Illawarra (Australia) | Age: 19.4

37. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Grizzlies)
Juan Nunez, PG, Ratiopharm Ulm (Germany) | Age: 19.9

38. New York Knicks (via Jazz)
Pacome Dadiet, SG/SF, Ratiopharm Ulm (Germany) | Age: 18.8

39. Memphis Grizzlies (via Nets)
Nikola Djurisic, SG/SF, Mega MIS (Adriatic League) | Age: 20.2

40. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hawks)
Adem Bona, C, UCLA | Age: 21.1

41. Philadelphia 76ers (via Bulls)
Jonathan Mogbo, PF/C, San Francisco | Age: 22.5

42. Charlotte Hornets (via Rockets)
Ulrich Chomche, PF/C, NBA Academy Showcase (Africa) | Age: 18.4

43. Miami Heat
Harrison Ingram, SF/PF, North Carolina | Age: 21.5

44. Houston Rockets (via Warriors)
Ajay Mitchell, PG, UC Santa Barbara | Age: 21.9

45. Sacramento Kings
Pelle Larsson, SG, Arizona | Age: 23.2

46. LA Clippers (via Pacers)
Jamal Shead, PG, Houston | Age: 21.8

47. Orlando Magic
Melvin Ajinca, SG/SF, Saint Quentin (France) | Age: 19.9

48. San Antonio Spurs (via Lakers)
Izan Almansa, PF/C, G League Ignite | Age: 18.8

49. Indiana Pacers (via Cavaliers)
Dillon Jones, SF/PF, Weber State | Age: 22.5

50. Indiana Pacers (via Pelicans)
Keshad Johnson, PF, Arizona | Age: 22.9

51. Washington Wizards (via Suns)
KJ Simpson, PG, Colorado | Age: 21.8

52. Golden State Warriors (via Bucks)
Bronny James, PG/SG, USC | Age: 19.6

53. Detroit Pistons (via Knicks)
Jalen Bridges, SF, Baylor | Age: 23.0

54. Boston Celtics (via Mavericks)
Oso Ighodaro, PF/C, Marquette | Age: 21.8

55. Los Angeles Lakers (via Clippers)
Ariel Hukporti, C, Melbourne (Australia) | Age: 22.1

56. Denver Nuggets (via Timberwolves)
Isaac Jones, PF/C, Washington State | Age: 23.8

57. Memphis Grizzlies (via Thunder)
Jaylen Wells, SG/SF, Washington State | Age: 20.7

58. Dallas Mavericks (via Celtics)
Antonio Reeves, SG/SF, Kentucky | Age: 23.5

Note: The Philadelphia 76ers and Phoenix Suns forfeited a 2024 second-round draft pick.

Jonathan Givony is an NBA draft expert and the founder and co-owner of DraftExpress.com, a private scouting and analytics service used by NBA, NCAA and international teams.

Jeremy Woo is an NBA analyst specializing in prospect evaluation and the draft. He was previously a staff writer and draft insider at Sports Illustrated