Euro 2024: Which teams have qualified for Round 16? Scenarios for remaining slots

With last set of matches taking place at Euro 2024 in the group stage, the Round of 16 is starting to take shape. Of the 24 teams that had come into the tournament, 16 will progress to the next round while eight will have to make their way home.

As per the format, top two teams from each group qualify for the Round of 16 and four best third-placed teams across groups.

Who has qualified for the Euro 2024 Round of 16?

With four groups now fully played, eight teams have been confirmed from the top-two finishes in respective groups. Meanwhile, Netherlands and Slovenia are confirmed to progress to the round of 16 as the best third-placed teams.

Through to the Round of 16 (as top two in groups): Austria, Denmark, England, France, Germany, Italy, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland.

Through to the Round of 16 (as best third-placed teams): Netherlands, Slovenia.

Eliminated: Albania, Croatia, Poland, Scotland and Serbia.

Who can qualify for the next round?

Group A: Germany and Switzerland are through. Hungary are not through or eliminated. Scotland are out of contention.

Group B: Spain and defending champions Italy are through while Croatia and Albania have been sent packing.

Group C: It has been a dreadful start for England but they finished top of Group C to go through alongside Denmark. Slovenia, meanwhile, with three points are through. Serbia miss out.

Group D: In a shocker, Austria topped Group D when they beat Netherlands in a thrilling clash. They finished ahead of France. Netherlands, despite the loss, progress because of four points. Poland were already out of contention going into the third matchday.

Group E: All four teams in this group – Romania, Belgium, Slovakia and Ukraine – are on three points making it tantalisingly poised. Romania and Belgium have a +1 goal difference, Slovakia have 0 goal difference and Ukraine are on -2.

Last set of fixtures: Ukraine vs Belgium, Slovakia vs Romania.

Romania will progress, as the top two teams, if they avoid losing to Slovakia. However, if Romania lose and Ukraine does not, Romania will not advance.

Belgium will reach the Round of 16, in the top two, if they avoid losing to Ukraine. Conversely, if Belgium lose and Romania does not, Belgium will be eliminated.

Slovakia will advance, at least as a best third-placed team, if they avoid losing to Romania. Slovakia will not go forward and will drop to fourth in the group if they lose and Belgium does not.

Ukraine will secure a place in the Round of 16, as the top two, if they beat Belgium. Alternatively, they can advance as a best third-placed team if they draw and the other game is not a draw. Ukraine will not reach the round of 16 and will be in fourth place if they lose and Slovakia does not lose, or if both games end in a draw.

If both games end in a draw, resulting in all four teams finishing with four points, the following scenarios apply:

A) If both draws have the same scoreline, or if Belgium vs. Ukraine has fewer goals than Slovakia vs. Romania, the group ranking will be based on goal difference and goals scored:

1. Romania
2. Belgium
3. Slovakia
4. Ukraine

B) If the two draws have different scorelines, the scenarios are:

If Belgium vs. Ukraine ends 1-1 and Slovakia vs. Romania ends 0-0, or in any case where Belgium scores exactly one more goal than Romania in their draw, Belgium and Romania will occupy the first two positions. They will be equal on goal difference and goals scored. According to article 20.01d of the competition regulations, the head-to-head criteria will be applied to these two teams, putting Belgium ahead of Romania as they won their direct match. Slovakia will be third and Ukraine fourth based on goal difference.

In other scenarios, Romania and Belgium will be the top two in the group, separated by goals scored. Belgium will top the group if they score two or more goals more than Romania in their draw. Romania will top the group if they score more goals than Belgium in their draw. Slovakia will finish ahead of Ukraine in third place based on goal difference.

Group F: Portugal have booked their place from this group. Turkey, on three points, are primed to join them with Czech Republic and Georgia still in with a chance as best third-placed team.

Last set of fixtures: Georgia vs Portugal, Czech Republic vs Turkey

Turkey: If Turkey avoid defeat against Czech Republic, they will advance to the Round of 16 as group runners-up. If Turkey lose but Georgia fail to beat Portugal, they will finish in third place. However, if Turkey lose and Georgia beat Portugal, Turkey will end up in fourth place and will not be able to make it to the round of 16.

Czech Republic: If Czechs defeat Turkey, they will advance to the Round of 16, at least as the best third-placed team. However, if they do not win, Czech Republic will not advance even if they finish third.

Georgia: If they beat Portugal, they will advance at least as the third-placed team. If they don’t win, they don’t stand a chance.

How the four best third-placed teams are decided?

Following is the tie-breaker criteria, in order, to determine the four third-placed teams to go through.

– Higher points
– Goal difference
– Goals scored
– Number of wins
– Disciplinary record
– Position in Euro qualifying