European Elections 2024: Close race between Carberry and Walsh in Midlands-Northwest as Kathleen Funchion jumps into third in Ireland South

Grace O’Sullivan (Green Party) received 7,675 votes following the elimination and the distribution of the papers of Susan Doyle of the Social Democrats in the 16th count, giving her a slim chance of retaining her seat.

Anti-immigrant campaigner Derek Blighe (IF) was then eliminated in the 16th count. The distribution of his 38,625 papers will follow on Thursday morning. His transfers are expected to go largely to Mick Wallace of I4C.

Sean Kelly remains the only person elected to the European Parliament in the constituency. Billy Kelleher (Fianna Fail) is on 106,051, followed by Michael McNamara (Ind) on 75,570, Mick Wallace (I4C) on 67,146, Cynthia Ni Mhurchu on 65,361 and Grace O’Sullivan on 63,335.

Billy Kelleher is now under 4,000 votes shy of the quota at 114,761.

Kathleen Funchion leapfrogged ahead of a number of candidates having picked up a massive 15,750 votes following the elimination of Paul Gavan, also of Sinn Féin, in the thirteenth count and the distribution of his papers. She sits in third on 76,697.

Michael McNamara (Ind) follows with 75,590. Mick Wallace of I4C is on 67,146 in fifth while Cynthia Ni Mhurchu of Fianna Fáil is in sixth on 65,361. Grace O’Sullivan of the Green Party will almost certainly lose her seat in the European Parliament as she is on 63,335 in seventh.

Sean Kelly of Fine Gael was elected in the first count. Mr Kelly remains the only candidate elected in Ireland South topping the poll with 127,777 votes out of a total poll of 713,323. He had a surplus of over 8,000 votes.

The counting is expected to last until midnight. It is understood counting will resume in the morning at 9am and that a number of the candidates will be elected without reaching the quota.

Meanwhile, in Midlands Northwest Aontú candidate Peadar Tóibín surpasses Sinn Fein’s Michelle Gildernew to stand 6th in the five seat run.

The 14th count results for Midlands Northwest constituency saw the elimination of Independent candidate Peter Casey with 28497 votes.

In a dramatic change of events, Sinn Fein’s little hope seems to be fading as their candidate Michelle Gildernew lost her sixth position to Aontú candidate Peadar Tóibín.

This comes after the re-distribution of 21029 votes from Irish Freedom Party candidate Hermann Kelly, which saw Peadar gain a transfer of 3678 votes bringing his total poll to 50735, while Michelle gained only 567 transfers coming to a total of 50151 votes.

No candidates have yet reached the quota, hence Peter Casey’s votes will now be re-distributed.

Maria Walsh is slowly catching up with her party colleague Nina Carberry as their count only has a difference of 426 votes.

The transfers on Wednesday has surprisingly benefitted Fine Gael candidate Maria Walsh, who not only surpassed Fianna Fail candidate Barry Cowen but is also getting closer to her party colleague Nina Carberry’s counts.

The Fine Gael candidates are now at Maria Walsh (78,048) and Nina Carberry (78,474) votes.

Luke Ming Flanagan has kept his lead in the run receiving the second highest transfers from Rory Hearne. Gaining 3,368 transfer votes Luke is now at 88,033 votes.

Since no candidate has yet reached the quota of 113, 325 votes, the candidate with lowest vote count Hermann Kelly of Irish Freedom Party has been eliminated.

His 21,029 votes are now being re-distributed.

Green Party MEP Ciaran Cuffe lost his seat in Europe after he was eliminated on the 18th count in the Dublin constituency yesterday. It followed outgoing MEP Clare Daly’s exclusion on the 17th count.

In the local elections battle, Fianna Fáil was neck and neck with Fine Gael on 245 seats each, with only a handful of 949 seats left to declare.

In Dublin’s European constituency, Fianna Fáil’s Barry Andrews, Fine Gael’s Regina Doherty, Sinn Féin’s Lynn Boylan and Labour’s Aodhán Ó Ríordáin were elected as the counts concluded and all four seats filled.

John Moran is elected Limerick Mayor

In Midlands North-West, incumbent MEP Luke “Ming” Flanagan is still leading the pack after topping the poll on Monday night. Next was Fine Gael’s first-time candidate and former jockey Nina Carberry, who was narrowly ahead of Fianna Fáil’s Barry Cowen. If the race stays as it currently stands, Maria Walsh will also be returning to Strasbourg as an MEP for Fine Gael in the fourth seat.

The fifth and final seat looks set to be taken by Independent Ireland candidate and former RTÉ correspondent Ciaran Mullooly. Sinn Féin’s Michelle Gildernew, who was her party’s main hope of retaining a seat in the constituency, conceded yesterday it was “very unlikely” she’d take a seat.

In Ireland South, Fine Gael’s Sean Kelly became the first MEP elected in Ireland, taking the first of five seats on Monday night. Fianna Fáil’s Billy Kelleher is in place to take the second seat, but the final three seats are considered too close to call.

Independent TD Michael McNamara and Fianna Fáil candidate and 1994 Eurovision host Cynthia Ní Mhurchú are polling in second and third place.

Outgoing MEP Mick Wallace, Sinn Féin TD Kathleen Funchion and the Green Party’s Grace O’Sullivan also look to be in contention for the final seat with the count in Cork expected to extend into tomorrow.

Independent John Moran maintained his lead to comfortably win the historic mayoral election in Limerick.

Meanwhile, Coalition in-fighting has continued after the elections, with Green Party leader Eamon Ryan confronting the Taoiseach and Tánaiste at their weekly leaders meeting.

Mr Ryan took serious issue with accusations that his party is “autocratic” and insisted coalition partners should not be publicly attacking each other for electoral gain.

However, his decision to air his grievances live on RTÉ One’s Prime Time programme just a couple of hours after the meeting raised concerns within the other parties.

The move led to suggestions Mr Ryan was launching political attacks in an attempt to deflect from the Greens’ poor showing in the local and European election. The party lost half of their council seats and now have just 24 councillors.

But as several Green candidates waited anxiously for counts to conclude yesterday, Mr Ryan was hitting out at his coalition partners, saying it was “totally inappropriate and wrong” to make personal attacks on his party for electoral gain.

He said “systematic” attacks on the Greens were partly responsible for the collapse in their support, adding that coalition partners should not hit colleagues with “accusations that aren’t true”.

He specifically highlighted a claim by Fine Gael’s Regina Doherty that the Green Party was “autocratic” and speaking down to people. It is understood the comments were made at the weekly leaders meeting a couple hours before Mr Ryan went on TV.

Mr Ryan said: “We are democratic. We believe in the constitutional democratic process. We work well in coalition. We are not out there lambasting our colleague or making personal attacks on government colleagues.”

He raised the issue with Taoiseach Simon Harris and Tánaiste Micheál Martin, and suggested he be given a commitment that it would not happen during a general election. But he conceded that political leaders couldn’t control everything their members say and added that he regretted comments by some of his own party.

Speaking on his way into Cabinet yesterday, the Taoiseach said it was “entirely appropriate” for parties to express political views during elections campaigns, but it should be done in a “civil and respectful way”.

However, a Fianna Fáil source said Mr Ryan’s intervention was aimed at deflecting the focus from his own role in his party’s decline in support.

“Campaigns are campaigns and show me a campaign where some s**t isn’t thrown,” the source said. “Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael are not running in all the other EU countries where the Greens lost seats,” the source added.

A Fine Gael source dismissed suggestions party members would no longer highlight concerns with Green Party policies.

“There will be plenty more criticism of the Green Party during the general election and every party is entitled to have their own policy platforms if they’re in government or not,” the source said.

A Green Party source denied Mr Ryan’s TV intervention was orchestrated to deflect from the seat losses.

Meanwhile, there is also squabbling between Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael over who could claim victory in the elections.

Fianna Fáil Chief Whip and director of elections for the local elections Jack Chambers issued a statement saying his party would have the most seats in local government.

However, Fine Gael issued a statement not long after noting that most voters in the local and European elections gave the party their number one preference.

Both parties got more than 240 seats in the local elections but Fianna Fáil is expected to become the largest party in councils. Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael are on course to secure four seats in the European Parliament.

The rise in government tensions will spark future speculation about the potential for an election later this year.

A senior Cabinet minister yesterday said they expected the election to be in November once the Budget had been announced. However, Finance Minister Michael McGrath said his view was that the legislation underpinning Budget measures should be passed before the country went to the polls.

In the Dáil, the Taoiseach used the Leader’s Questions debate to claim bragging rights from the election result and accused Social Democrats of ignoring the outcome of the vote.

He told People Before Profit he wished them “better luck next time” and said he did not need a “Mary Lou-splaining” from the Sinn Féin leader.