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Prospect Watch: Arrogate’s half-brother makes 2nd start

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Prospect Watch: Arrogate’s half-brother makes 2nd start

Horse Racing Nation’s Prospect Watch scans all upcoming entries for starters early in their careers who sold for more than $500,000 at their most recent auction or whose dams or siblings are graded-stakes winners.

Among this week’s runners who meet the Prospect Watch criteria are these spotlight maidens:

Monday

Ellis Park race 5, third start for Grade 1 winner Covfefe’s first foal

Ellen Jay is a 3-year-old filly by Constitution and the first foal by Grade 1 winner Covfefe. Trained by Brad Cox and owned by Covfefe’s owners LNJ Foxwoods, she has been heavily bet in both starts, which were at Churchill Downs sprinting on the main track. In her debut at even money, she broke very poorly then closed to finish fourth. After that effort, she was sent off at 2-5 odds in her second start but managed only third in a field of five. Today she switches to the lawn, going 5 1/2 furlongs over the Ellis Park turf. 

Covfefe’s second foal debuts Saturday at Ellis Park, as noted below.

Ellis Park race 7, half-brother to champion Arrogate

Provisional
a 4-year-old colt by Justify, is a half-brother to 2016 Breeders’ Cup Classic winner Arrogate, who was named champion 3-year-old male of 2016. Provisional is trained by Pavel Matejka. He makes his second start in a maiden special weight going one mile on the grass. In his debut last August, he finished a distant seventh in a field of eight.

Saturday

Ellis Park race 2, half-sister to Grade 1 winner Miss Temple City

A Must Seea 3-year-old filly by Catholic Boy, is a half-sister to Grade 1 winner Miss Temple City, who won Grade 1s in the Maker’s Mark Mile, Turf Mile and Matriarch in 2016 for trainer Graham Motion. A Must See is trained by Sarah Hamilton and makes her debut in a maiden special weight turf sprint on the turf.  

Ellis Park race 2, second foal of Grade 1 winner Covfefe

Rothko is a 2-year-old colt by Tapit and also out of Grade 1 winner Covfefe. Trained by Brad Cox and also owned by Covefe’s owners LNJ Foxwoods, she debuts in a maiden special weight going seven furlongs on the main track. 

Sunday

Ellis Park race 6, half-brother to Grade 1 winner Life Is Good

Most Wanteda 3-year-old colt by Candy Ride, is a half-brother to Grade 1 winner Life Is Good. Trained by Brad Cox, he won his debut by a neck at Churchill Downs and now goes in a one-mile allowance over the Ellis Park main track.  

Among this week’s runners who meet the Prospect Watch criteria are these 66 starters:

Date  Track  Type  ML   Horse Div Sire Dam Last auction Top sibling (Highest GS)
First-time starters          
7/15 ELP 3 MCL 10-1 McGinnis 3M Yoshida (JPN) Catherinethegreat (G3) KEENOV21 $150K  
7/15 ELP 7 MSW 9-2 Jungle Law 3M Constitution India (G2) KEESEP22 $300K Mozu Ascot (G1)
7/17 SAR 9 MCL 9-2 Thedreamcontinues 4F Always Dreaming Magdalena’s Chase   Competitive Edge (G1)
7/18 DEL 5 MCL 12-1 Win and Be Happy 4M Runhappy Victory On Tap   My Majestic Rose (G2)
7/18 IND 8 MSW 12-1 Karadia 3M Karakontie (JPN) Saudia FTKFEB22 $43K Red Duke (G2)
7/18 SAR 6 MSW 8-1 Gathered 2F Collected Seattle Grey   Divine Miss Grey (G2)
7/19 EVD 3 MSW 6-1 Insipid 2F Tale of Ekati Dance Away Capote (G3)    
7/19 SAR 1 MSW   Gene and Jude 2M Kitten’s Joy You Go West Girl (G3 Placed)   Chicago Style (G2)
7/20 CNL 8 MSW   Camanoe 3F Catholic Boy Dyna Waltz (GB) (G3 Placed)   Theodora B. (G2)
7/20 CNL 11 MSW   Deuteronomy 3M Kitten’s Joy Hit It Rich (G3)    
7/20 ELP 2 MSW   A Must See 3F Catholic Boy Glittering Tax FTKOCT22 $30K Miss Temple City (G1)
7/20 ELP 5 MSW   Rothko 2M Tapit Covfefe (G1)    
7/20 ELP 5 MSW   Whiskey Shot 2M Gun Runner Lorelei True   Fofi (G2)
7/20 ELP 9 MSW   Fly J’s Funtastic 3M Funtastic Flowery KEESEP22 $2.2K La Enaltecida (G2)
7/20 GP 7 MSW   Como 2M Constitution Mo’ Green (G3)    
7/20 GP 7 MSW   Wannabeeloved 2M Bee Jersey Sky Beam   Sky Kingdom (G3)
7/20 SAR 1 MSW   Lucas’s Mischief 2M Into Mischief Harvestfortheworld (IRE) (G3 Placed)   Caroline Street (G3)
7/20 SAR 7 MSW   Authentic Gallop 2M Authentic Galloping Ami   Amis Gizmo (G3)
7/20 SAR 7 MSW   Track Ranger 2M Hightail Oxy Lady (G3)    
7/21 ELP 7 MSW   Daisy Flyer 2F Mshawish Starstruck (IRE) (G3)    
Second-time starters          
7/15 ELP 7 MSW 15-1 Provisional 4M Justify Bubbler (G3 Placed) KEESEP21 $125K Arrogate (G1)
7/15 PRX 2 MSW 12-1 Luca Il Cavallo 3M Frosted Archstone OBSAPR23 $30K Proctor’s Ledge (G2)
7/16 MNR 4 ALW 4-1 Itsallaboutmebaby 3F Tapit Subtlety (ARG) (G3)    
7/16 TDN 2 ALW 5-1 Notso Mischievous 3M Into Mischief Ever So Clever (G3)   Everso Mischievous (G2)
7/17 IND 7 MSW 12-1 Complex Cat 2M Complexity Kittery Point   Sam’s Sister (G1)
7/17 LAD 6 MSW 15-1 Two Weeks Notice 3M Catholic Boy Refreshing (GB)   Clear Vision (G3)
7/17 SAR 6 MCL 4-1 Hue 3F Ghostzapper Sunset Glow (G1) OBSAPR23 $120K  
7/18 DEL 3 MSW 5-2 For Arrogate 3F Arrogate Forever Together (G1)    
7/18 DEL 3 MSW 3-1 Something Wicked 3F Gun Runner Just Wicked (G2) KEESEP22 $1.1M Wicked Halo (G2)
7/18 DEL 3 MSW 12-1 Urban Star 3F War Front Guilia (GB) FTKOCT22 $55K God’s Speed (IRE) (G1)
7/18 HAW 7 MSW 10-1 Bernin Tune 3M Bernardini Distorted Music   She Can’t Sing (G3)
7/18 IND 4 MSW 15-1 Red Shaheen 2M Preservationist Gold Edge (G3)    
7/18 IND 8 MSW 9-2 Kentucky Go Go 3M Hightail Energia Fribby (BRZ) (G1)    
7/18 SAR 9 AOC 4-1 Mixologist 3F Frosted Masquerade KEESEP22 $175K Princess Grace (G2)
7/18 SAR 9 AOC 8-1 Proctor Street 3F Street Sense Proctor’s Ledge (G2)    
7/19 BTP 7 STK 7-2 Fortheloveofbonnie 2F Cowtown Cat Love Spun   Special Reserve (G2)
7/19 GP 1 MSW   Cheese 2F Brethren Boa Twelve   Key Biscayne (G3)
7/19 GP 4 MCL   Rapid Roy 3M Always Dreaming Factor One KEEJAN22 $4.5K Soul of an Angel (G2)
7/19 SAR 1 MSW   Governor Sam 2M Improbable I’m Betty G (G3 Placed)   Pin Up Betty (G3)
7/19 SAR 6 MSW   Dominican Thunder 2M Improbable Sassy Sienna (G3) SARAUG23 $100K  
7/19 SAR 9 ALW   Audacious 3F Into Mischief Veracity KEESEP22 $700K  
7/20 ELP 5 MSW   Morlock 2M Bernardini St. John’s River (G2)    
7/20 EVD 4 MSW   Congratulera 3F Congrats Pachangera (G1) LTBSYM22 $11K  
7/20 GP 7 MSW   Aristotle 2M Tapit Lake Naivasha   Crewman (G3)
7/20 SAR 1 MSW   Clever Again 2M American Pharoah Flattering (IRE) (G3)    
7/20 SAR 7 MSW   Perfect Force 2M Gun Runner Cuaba (G2 Placed)   Scuba (G2)
7/21 ELP 6 ALW   Most Wanted 3M Candy Ride (ARG) Beach Walk   Life Is Good (G1)
7/21 ELP 7 MSW   Lucky Mama 2F Munnings Outburst (GB) (G3)    
7/21 ELP 9 MSW   Kiss Blue 3F Air Force Blue Kiss the Devil (G3)   Kiss Moon (G3)
7/21 PRM 7 MSW   Traciana 2F Brody’s Cause Set’n On Ready   Sittin On Go (G3)
Third-time starters          
7/15 ELP 4 MSW 5-1 Minty 2F McKinzie Moneybru   Midnight Miley (G3)
7/15 ELP 5 MSW 2-1 Ellen Jay 3F Constitution Covfefe (G1)    
7/15 ELP 9 MCL 10-1 Acting Debut 3M Oscar Performance Miss Chapin   Coffee Clique (G1)
7/15 ELP 9 MCL 9-2 Gagliardi 3M Omaha Beach Listen A. P. FTKOCT22 $32K Silentio (G2)
7/15 PRX 2 MSW 12-1 Cisco Kid 3M Creative Cause Can’t Catch Kate   Identifier (G3)
7/16 IND 6 MSW 4-1 Sweet as Sin 3M Candy Ride (ARG) Giant Mover OBSMAR23 $410K Family Tree (G2)
7/18 HAW 9 CLM 6-1 Roar of Silence 3F Cairo Prince Askbut I Won’ttell (G3)    
7/18 IND 8 MSW 9-5 Bomb Cyclone 3M Constitution Wood Not KEENOV21 $110K Purely Hot (G3)
7/18 SAR 8 CLM 8-1 Soca 3F Speightstown Rattataptap (G3 Placed) KEESEP22 $100K Double Thunder (G3)
7/18 SAR 9 AOC 8-1 Expatriate 3F Cairo Prince Exclude (GB) KEESEP22 $150K Lady Scarlet (G3)
7/18 SAR 9 AOC 15-1 Wrigleyville 3F Into Mischief Marketing Mix (G1)    
7/20 CNL 10 MCL   Mas Victoria 3F Tourist Poco Mas KEESEP22 $11K Carinosa (ARG) (G2)
7/20 ELP 2 MSW   Elhuboob 3F Hard Spun Loving Vindication   Hard Not to Love (G1)
7/20 SAR 12 MSW   Thielen 3M Curlin Angela Renee (G1) FTSAUG22 $1.8M  
7/21 ELP 9 MSW   I Am the Sauce 3F Palace Malice Like a Queen   Like the King (G3)
7/21 PRM 7 MSW   Friendly Spirit 2F Ghostzapper Smart Sting (G3)  

notes

Legend:

Div: Age and sex. 2F for 2-year-old fillies, 2M for 2-year-old males (colts/geldings), etc.

Top sibling (highest graded stakes): The sibling with the highest level of graded stakes won (G1, G2, G3) followed by the most money won if two siblings are at the same level.

Bolded names are mentioned in the article.

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